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The analyst

Daryl Ferbush — Oilers Analyst

The person behind the picks, how he works and the rules he follows.

Daryl Ferbush

About Daryl

Daryl Ferbush is a hockey analyst from St. Albert, Alberta. He publishes a prediction for every Edmonton Oilers game at 6:00 a.m. MT on game day, built on a model he has opened up for anyone to inspect. Read today’s Oilers prediction.

How Daryl works

  • Open model: published on GitHub under an MIT licence, with the method written up in METHOD.md.
  • Public archive: 1,043 forecasts with timestamps, so nothing can be edited after the fact.
  • Measured honestly: closing-line value (CLV), flat-stake ROI and Brier score are reported on the track-record page.
  • Externally audited: an outside audit is carried out every year.
  • “Outside the zone” rule: if the model and Daryl’s own read differ by more than 12%, he gives no pick for that game.

See the track record →

Daryl’s rules

Daryl does not work with sportsbooks: no bookmaker affiliate deals and no promo codes. He doesn’t choose which operators this site lists and he doesn’t take money from them.

PredictionRaptor earns a commission from some sportsbooks through its own links. Those links are labelled “Ad” and sit apart from Daryl’s predictions. How we make money.

Gamble responsibly

Betting should be fun, never a way to make money or fix a problem. Set deposit limits, never chase losses and take breaks. If gambling stops being fun, free help is available in Canada: ConnexOntario, Gambling Support BC and Jeu : aide et référence (Québec).